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Murense vs Felanitx - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Murense Logo

Murense

2 - 2
FT
Felanitx Logo

Felanitx

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between Murense and Felanitx finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Murense
20%
Draws
48%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Murense haven't matched Felanitx's recent run of results.
  • Murense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Murense Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murense Felanitx
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Felanitx
2:2
Oct 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Murense
2:1
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Felanitx
1:1
Dec 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Murense
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murense 59 / 100
Felanitx 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murense Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Felanitx conceded in 89% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Felanitx's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Murense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Felanitx
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Murense

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
Page 1 of 6

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)