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Murense vs Serverense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Serverense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serverense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Murense
30%
Draws
54%
Serverense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serverense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Murense haven't matched Serverense's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Serverense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Murense Clean Sheet 10%
Serverense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murense Serverense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.7 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Serverense
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Serverense vs Murense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murense 10 / 100
Serverense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murense Serverense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serverense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serverense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Murense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Murense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murense VS Serverense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Murense

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
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Serverense

(Away)
30 Apr
Serverense
1 : 2
Collerense
24 Apr
Portmany
1 : 2
Serverense
17 Apr
Serverense
0 : 1
Constancia
14 Apr
Inter Ibiza
2 : 2
Serverense
10 Apr
Serverense
2 : 1
Campos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)