Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murici vs ASA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Jailson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Murici
30%
Draws
47%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASA lately — more wins on the board than Murici.
  • Murici are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • ASA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Murici Clean Sheet 20%
ASA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici ASA
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 11 23
Draws 8 15
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.26 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Jailson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 42 / 100
ASA 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murici scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

ASA has conceded goals in 44% of their last 43 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Murici stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASA
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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ASA

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)