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Murici vs CSA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Murici Logo

Murici

1 - 1
FT
CSA Logo

CSA

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ewerton
90' Event
Edson Silva
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Murici
20%
Draws
40%
CSA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Murici haven't matched CSA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Murici a 40% chance of winning this.
  • CSA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%
CSA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici CSA
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 10 21
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs CSA
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CSA
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Alagoano
CSA vs Murici
2:0
Mar 26, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CSA
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Murici
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ewerton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 77 / 100
CSA 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici CSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murici Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CSA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Murici scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

CSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSA
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 7

CSA

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)