Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League

Musanze

1 - 1

Al-Merreikh

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Musanze

33%

Draws

27%

Al-Merreikh

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Al-Merreikh lately — more wins on the board than Musanze.
Model gives Musanze a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Musanze Clean Sheet 68%

Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Musanze	Al-Merreikh
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	8	11
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	0.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League

Musanze vs Al-Merreikh

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Dec 24, 2025 Premier League

Al-Merreikh vs Musanze

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 50 / 100

Al-Merreikh 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Musanze Al-Merreikh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Musanze found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al-Merreikh conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Musanze has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Al-Merreikh

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29