Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mushuc Runa vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

0 - 0
FT
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Hernandez J.
9'
Gustavino L.
35'
Gonzalez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mushuc Runa
20%
Draws
42%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aucas lately — more wins on the board than Mushuc Runa.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 21%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Aucas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Mushuc Runa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 37 / 100
Aucas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mushuc Runa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Mushuc Runa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Aucas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0
Barcelona SC
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3
Mushuc Runa
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2
Libertad
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1
LDU Quito
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
26 Jul
Aucas
1 : 4
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 25 21 1 3 61:24 64
2 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 25 11 7 7 40:22 40
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 25 9 8 8 26:25 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 25 8 8 9 32:34 32
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 25 9 4 12 22:32 31
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)