Sport Picks
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 
Match Events
9'
9'
Klimowicz M.
Assist: Diaz M.
13'
13'
Davila E.
16'
16'
Mosquera I.
AI Match Summary
Mushuc Runa in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mushuc Runa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mushuc Runa have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mushuc Runa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mushuc Runa | Dep. Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mushuc Runa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemos L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ibarra R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mushuc Runa 36 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mushuc Runa Dep. Cuenca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mushuc Runa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Mushuc Runa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mushuc Runa VS Dep. Cuenca
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mushuc Runa
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2 Libertad
20 Jul
Mushuc Runa
2 : 1 Orense
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Cuenca
(Away) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
