Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mushuc Runa vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Angulo C.
Assist: Velasco K.
40'
Bolanos M.
45'
Davila E.

AI Match Summary

Mushuc Runa in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mushuc Runa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Mushuc Runa
30%
Draws
16%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mushuc Runa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mushuc Runa at 1.07 per game, Emelec at 0.9.
  • Win probability leans Mushuc Runa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 19%
Emelec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Emelec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrillo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Emelec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 85 / 100
Emelec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Emelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mushuc Runa scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Emelec has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mushuc Runa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Emelec
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2
Libertad
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Mushuc Runa
2 : 1
Orense
14 Jul
Macara
2 : 1
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Emelec

(Away)
10 Aug
Guayaquil City
0 : 0
Emelec
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
20 Jul
Independiente del Valle
6 : 1
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 24 20 1 3 58:22 61
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 24 12 5 7 29:25 41
4 U. Catolica 23 11 6 6 38:19 39
5 Barcelona SC 24 9 8 7 25:20 35
6 LDU Quito 24 10 5 9 23:20 35
7 Leones del Norte 24 8 8 8 24:25 32
8 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
9 Libertad 23 8 6 9 24:26 30
10 Guayaquil City 24 7 8 9 20:25 29
11 Emelec 24 7 8 9 19:28 29
12 Mushuc Runa 23 7 7 9 29:34 28
13 Orense 24 7 6 11 28:36 27
14 Tecnico U. 23 8 2 13 20:29 26
15 Delfin 24 6 6 12 15:24 24
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)