Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Musselburgh vs Boness United

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Porteous R.
Assist: Barker J.
48' Event
Mitchell K.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Grant T.
Assist: Brown S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Musselburgh
20%
Draws
44%
Boness United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boness United lately — more wins on the board than Musselburgh.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Musselburgh taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 15%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musselburgh Boness United
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Musselburgh vs Boness United
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup
Musselburgh vs Boness United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Porteous R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Boness United Compare

Top Goalscorer Grant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 48 / 100
Boness United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musselburgh Boness United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musselburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Musselburgh's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Musselburgh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Boness United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
Page 1 of 5

Boness United

(Away)
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Boness United
0 : 5
Lochee United
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
29 Aug
Stirling University
2 : 5
Boness United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)