Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025

Musselburgh

Sat, Sep 28, 2024

1 - 0

02:00 PM

Darvel FC

Our Tip

Match Events

98'

Court J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Scottish Cup 2024/2025 game between Musselburgh and Darvel FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musselburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Musselburgh

Draws

Darvel FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Musselburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Musselburgh have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Darvel FC are scoring more at 2.14.
Win probability leans Musselburgh's way, sitting at 90%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Scottish Cup 2024/2025 game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Musselburgh Clean Sheet 13%

Darvel FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Musselburgh	Darvel FC
Matches Played	12	14
Wins	7	7
Draws	0	1
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.38	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Scottish Cup

Musselburgh vs Darvel FC

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Court J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Darvel FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.95

Avg xA / game 1.19

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 84 / 100

Darvel FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Musselburgh Darvel FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Darvel FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Musselburgh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Darvel FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Darvel FC

1.38 Goals Scored 2.14

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14

63% Over 1.5 71%

63% Over 2.5 71%

38% Over 3.5 57%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Arbroath-

TBD-

Queen of the South-

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Spartans-

TBD-

Cowdenbeath3

Rutherglen2

Brechin1

Newtongrange Star0

Huntly3

Wick Academy2

TBD-

Hearts-

Dundee FC-

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Dumbarton-

TBD-

Alloa-

Dundonald Bluebell1

Inverurie Loco Works2

Dundee North End4

Tranent FC0

TBD-

Airdrieonians-

Elgin City-

TBD-

Clyde-

TBD-

Kelty Hearts-

TBD-

Aberdeen-

Forres Mechanics1

Jeanfield Swifts2

TBD-

Edinburgh City-

TBD-

Dunfermline-

Burntisland Shipyard1

Irvine Meadow4

Cumbernauld Colts0

Civil Service Strollers3

TBD-

Stenhousemuir-

Rangers-

TBD-

Fraserburgh8

Rothes0

Broomhill0

Turriff United1

TBD-

Annan-

Queen's Park-

TBD-

Partick-

Peterhead-

TBD-

East Stirlingshire2

Lochee United3

TBD-

Montrose-

Ross County-

TBD-

Livingston-

TBD-

Brora Rangers2

Cumnock Juniors1

Formartine Utd2

Whitehill Welfare0

Cove Rangers-

TBD-

Inverness-

Forfar Athletic-

TBD-

Berwick4

Cupar Hearts2

Stirling-

TBD-

Dunbar United1

Boness Athletic4

St Johnstone-

TBD-

Motherwell-

East Fife-

TBD-

Gala Fairydean Rovers0

Banks O' Dee1

TBD-

Hamilton-

Musselburgh1

Darvel FC0

Stirling University0

Caledonian Braves2

Tynecastle2

Hill Of Beath3

Deveronvale2

Boness United4

Celtic-

TBD-

Kilmarnock-

East Kilbride2

Gretna 20080

TBD-

Bonnyrigg Rose-

TBD-

Falkirk-

Linlithgow Rose3

Lossiemouth1

Clachnacuddin3

Nairn County1

TBD-

Raith-

Threave Rovers6

Vale Of Leithen1

TBD-

Stranraer-

Albion Rovers1

Auchinleck Talbot2

Dalkeith Thistle FC0

Broxburn Athletic4

Ayr-

TBD-

Morton-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Keith2

Camelon Juniors1

Clydebank FC3

Girvan1

Strathspey Thistle0

Sauchie6

Buckie Thistle2

Carluke Rovers FC1

1/64-finals

Arbroath-

TBD-

Queen of the South-

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Spartans1

Cowdenbeath2

Brechin3

Huntly2

TBD-

Hearts-

Dundee FC-

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Dumbarton-

TBD-

Alloa-

Inverurie Loco Works1

Dundee North End3

TBD-

Airdrieonians-

Elgin City2

Clyde1

TBD-

Kelty Hearts-

TBD-

Aberdeen-

Jeanfield Swifts1

Edinburgh City2

TBD-

Dunfermline-

Irvine Meadow3

Civil Service Strollers0

TBD-

Stenhousemuir-

Rangers-

TBD-

Fraserburgh3

Turriff United1

TBD-

Annan-

Queen's Park-

TBD-

Partick-

Peterhead6

Lochee United3

TBD-

Montrose-

Ross County-

TBD-

Livingston-

TBD-

Brora Rangers2

Formartine Utd1

Cove Rangers-

TBD-

Inverness-

Forfar Athletic1

Berwick0

Stirling6

Boness Athletic0

St Johnstone-

TBD-

Motherwell-

East Fife0

Banks O' Dee1

TBD-

Hamilton-

Musselburgh2

Caledonian Braves1

Hill Of Beath0

Boness United2

Celtic-

TBD-

Kilmarnock-

East Kilbride3

Bonnyrigg Rose1

TBD-

Falkirk-

Linlithgow Rose3

Clachnacuddin0

TBD-

Raith-

Threave Rovers2

Stranraer3

Auchinleck Talbot0

Broxburn Athletic1

Ayr-

TBD-

Morton-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Keith0

Clydebank FC3

Sauchie0

Buckie Thistle2

1/32-finals

Arbroath0

Queen of the South1

TBD-

St. Mirren-

Cowdenbeath1

Brechin4

TBD-

Hearts-

Dundee FC-

TBD-

Dundee Utd-

Dumbarton3

Alloa2

Dundee North End0

Airdrieonians1

Elgin City3

Kelty Hearts2

TBD-

Aberdeen-

Edinburgh City1

Dunfermline2

Irvine Meadow0

Stenhousemuir5

Rangers-

TBD-

Fraserburgh2

Annan0

Queen's Park3

Partick2

Peterhead2

Montrose3

Ross County-

TBD-

Livingston2

Brora Rangers0

Cove Rangers2

Inverness0

Forfar Athletic4

Stirling3

St Johnstone-

TBD-

Motherwell-

Banks O' Dee1

Hamilton2

Musselburgh3

Boness United1

Celtic-

TBD-

Kilmarnock-

East Kilbride1

Falkirk3

Linlithgow Rose0

Raith4

Stranraer1

Broxburn Athletic2

Ayr2

Morton0

Hibernian-

TBD-

Clydebank FC2

Buckie Thistle0

1/16-finals

Queen of the South1

St. Mirren3

Brechin1

Hearts4

Dundee FC1

Dundee Utd0

Dumbarton1

Airdrieonians5

Elgin City0

Aberdeen3

Dunfermline3

Stenhousemuir0

Rangers5

Fraserburgh0

Queen's Park3

Montrose2

Ross County2

Livingston3

Cove Rangers2

Forfar Athletic0

St Johnstone1

Motherwell0

Hamilton3

Musselburgh1

Celtic2

Kilmarnock1

Falkirk1

Raith2

Broxburn Athletic0

Ayr8

Hibernian3

Clydebank FC0

1/8-finals

St. Mirren1

Hearts2

Dundee FC4

Airdrieonians0

Aberdeen3

Dunfermline0

Rangers0

Queen's Park1

Livingston3

Cove Rangers0

St Johnstone1

Hamilton0

Celtic5

Raith0

Ayr0

Hibernian1

Quarter-finals

Hearts3

Dundee FC1

Aberdeen4

Queen's Park1

Livingston0

St Johnstone1

Celtic2

Hibernian0

Semi-finals

Hearts1

Aberdeen2

St Johnstone0

Celtic5

Final

Aberdeen2

Celtic1