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Must IPO vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Araujo B.
76' Event
Gomez B.
90' Event
Silva R.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Must IPO and Cheng Fung finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Must IPO
30%
Draws
9%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Must IPO come out ahead of Cheng Fung on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Must IPO taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 20%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Must IPO Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 4.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:6
Apr 5, 2026 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
7:0
Jun 29, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:10
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Must IPO 85 / 100
Cheng Fung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Must IPO Cheng Fung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Must IPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Must IPO scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Cheng Fung let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Must IPO has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Must IPO VS Cheng Fung
4.75 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Must IPO

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
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Cheng Fung

(Away)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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