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Must IPO vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Thu, Feb 17, 2022
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Must IPO host Policia in the Elite League 2022. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Policia have shipped 1.84 goals a game lately, while Must IPO have conceded 0.5 and scored 5.57. Head-to-head, Must IPO have won 4 to Policia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.42 - 1.00) back Must IPO to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Must IPO
20%
Draws
28%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Must IPO carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Must IPO are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Must IPO here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 20%
Policia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Must IPO Policia
Matches Played 46 25
Wins 41 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 5.57 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 3.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2022 Elite League
Must IPO vs Policia
0:0
Jun 27, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Must IPO
0:3
Mar 28, 2021 Elite League
Must IPO vs Policia
4:0
Oct 2, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Must IPO
0:3
May 3, 2019 Elite League
Must IPO vs Policia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Must IPO 85 / 100
Policia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Must IPO Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Must IPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Must IPO's goal record stands at 98% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

Solid form: Must IPO remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Policia let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Must IPO VS -
5.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Must IPO

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
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Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 16 0 0 95:4 48
2 Monte Carlo 16 13 0 3 83:15 39
3 Benfica 16 11 2 3 54:13 35
4 Cheng Fung 16 8 1 7 40:25 25
5 Tak Chun Ka I 16 5 3 8 25:48 18
6 Lun Lok 16 5 3 8 19:45 18
7 CFB Macau 16 3 5 8 13:63 14
8 Sporting Macau 16 1 5 10 9:45 8
9 Casa de Portugal 16 0 1 15 6:86 1
10 Policia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)