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Must IPO vs Toi Seng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Carissimo R.
31' Event
Leong K.
37' Event
Silva Patriota D.

AI Match Summary

Must IPO in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Must IPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Must IPO
20%
Draws
19%
Toi Seng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Must IPO lately — more wins on the board than Toi Seng.
  • Win probability leans Must IPO's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 20%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Must IPO Toi Seng
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 29 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 4.85 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.62 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Elite League
Must IPO vs Toi Seng
4:0
Mar 10, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Must IPO
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Carissimo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leong K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.63
Avg xA / game 1.71

Toi Seng Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Must IPO 85 / 100
Toi Seng 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Must IPO Toi Seng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Must IPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Must IPO scored in 97% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Toi Seng conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Must IPO has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Must IPO VS -
5.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Must IPO

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
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Toi Seng

(Away)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)