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Mutilvera vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Torrico A.
45' Event
Torrico A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Mutilvera and Amorebieta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mutilvera
35%
Draws
32%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amorebieta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 16%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Amorebieta
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Mutilvera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrico A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 31 / 100
Amorebieta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mutilvera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mutilvera found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Amorebieta
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)