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Mutilvera vs Ezcabarte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Los Arcos G.

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mutilvera
35%
Draws
27%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mutilvera haven't matched Ezcabarte's recent run of results.
  • Mutilvera are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mutilvera have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 20%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Ezcabarte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Ezcabarte
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Mutilvera
0:2
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Ezcabarte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Los Arcos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ezcabarte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 42 / 100
Ezcabarte 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ezcabarte conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Mutilvera went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mutilvera scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Ezcabarte
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Mutilvera
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Ezcabarte

(Away)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Beti Kozkor 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Gazte Berriak 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
4 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Doneztebe FT 6 1 3 2 11:8 6
10 Valle Egues 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
11 Txantrea 6 1 3 2 4:9 6
12 CD Beti Onak 6 0 5 1 5:8 5
13 Cortes 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
14 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
15 Huarte 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)