Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mutilvera vs Gernika Club

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Yaniz M.
80' Event
Goikoetxea X.

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mutilvera
35%
Draws
29%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mutilvera and Gernika Club have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 21%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Gernika Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Gernika Club
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Mutilvera
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Gernika Club
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Mutilvera
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Mutilvera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaniz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goikoetxea X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gernika Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 37 / 100
Gernika Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Gernika Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mutilvera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mutilvera's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Gernika Club
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
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Gernika Club

(Away)
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)