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Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Mutondo Stars and Green Eagles finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Green Eagles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mutondo Stars
15%
Draws
39%
Green Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Green Eagles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mutondo Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Green Eagles Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Green Eagles
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Super League
Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles
2:1
Aug 28, 2024 Super League
Green Eagles vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Dec 30, 2023 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Eagles
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 36 / 100
Green Eagles 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Green Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Green Eagles conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Mutondo Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Green Eagles has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Green Eagles
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
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Green Eagles

(Away)
03 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 4
Green Eagles
22 May
Mines
1 : 0
Green Eagles
17 May
Green Eagles
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
14 May
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Green Eagles
07 May
Green Eagles
1 : 0
Zesco
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