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Mutondo Stars vs Indeni

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Kampamba J.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Ching’andu L.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Menyani L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Mutondo Stars and Indeni finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutondo Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mutondo Stars
15%
Draws
26%
Indeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mutondo Stars a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Indeni Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Indeni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 14 5
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 0.78 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Indeni
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs Mutondo Stars
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutondo Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Menyani L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Indeni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 86 / 100
Indeni 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Indeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutondo Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indeni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mutondo Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Indeni has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
Page 1 of 7

Indeni

(Away)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)