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Mutondo Stars vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Mutondo Stars and Nchanga Rangers finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mutondo Stars
33%
Draws
27%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mutondo Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Nchanga Rangers
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 50 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mutondo Stars stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Nchanga Rangers
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%