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Mutondo Stars vs Roan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mutondo Stars host Roan United in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Roan United have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Mutondo Stars have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.79. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.83 xG vs 0.73) point toward Mutondo Stars. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mutondo Stars
15%
Draws
49%
Roan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars average 0.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Roan United's 0.68.
  • Roan United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Roan United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Roan United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.79 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 28 / 100
Roan United 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Roan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roan United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Roan United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Mutondo Stars went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Roan United
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
18 Oct
Chirundu United
3 : 0
Mutondo Stars
10 Oct
Kabwe
3 : 2
Mutondo Stars
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
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Roan United

(Away)
17 Oct
Green Eagles
1 : 0
Roan United
10 Oct
Roan United
0 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
04 Apr
Roan United
0 : 2
Nchanga Rangers
05 Apr
Roan United
1 : 2
Nkana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)