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Mutondo Stars vs Trident - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Mavinga K. O.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023/2024 game between Mutondo Stars and Trident finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trident.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mutondo Stars
30%
Draws
29%
Trident
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mutondo Stars come out ahead of Trident on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mutondo Stars's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Trident Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Trident
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Trident
0:1
Sep 23, 2023 Super League
Trident vs Mutondo Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 68 / 100
Trident 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Trident

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutondo Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trident's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Mutondo Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mutondo Stars scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Trident
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6

Trident

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Arrows 34 21 8 5 45:16 71
2 Zesco 34 15 14 5 46:30 59
3 Power Dynamos 34 14 14 6 43:24 56
4 Muza Fc 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
5 Kabwe 34 14 10 10 33:26 52
6 Nkwazi 34 14 10 10 33:35 52
7 Mufulira Wanderers 34 11 10 13 32:32 43
8 Zanaco 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
9 Nkana 34 11 10 13 24:30 43
10 Forest Rangers 34 9 15 10 33:34 42
11 Green Buffaloes FC 34 10 12 12 31:35 42
12 Green Eagles 34 11 9 14 35:41 42
13 Mutondo Stars 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 NAPSA Stars 34 9 13 12 26:30 40
15 Konkola Blades 34 8 15 11 23:31 39
16 Prison Leopards 34 8 11 15 26:37 35
17 Kansanshi 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
18 Trident 34 4 14 16 26:44 26
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