Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mutschelbach vs Oberachern

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kleinert K.
Own Goal
14' Event
Kendel F.
20' Event
Angot R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mutschelbach
20%
Draws
56%
Oberachern
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oberachern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Oberachern have won more games recently than Mutschelbach.
  • Oberachern are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 18%
Oberachern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutschelbach Oberachern
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.8 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Oberachern
4:4
Aug 16, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Oberachern vs Mutschelbach
2:5
May 13, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Oberachern vs Mutschelbach
4:4
Oct 28, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs Oberachern
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutschelbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendel F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malsam J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Oberachern Compare

Top Goalscorer Angot R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stefotic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutschelbach 15 / 100
Oberachern 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutschelbach Oberachern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberachern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutschelbach scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 6.75 goals as a typical output.

Oberachern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Mutschelbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oberachern
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutschelbach

(Home)
01 Jun
Reutlingen
6 : 0
Mutschelbach
18 May
Mutschelbach
2 : 0
Goppinger
12 May
Backnang
1 : 1
Mutschelbach
09 May
Mutschelbach
1 : 4
FC 08 Villingen
04 May
TSV Essingen
0 : 0
Mutschelbach
Page 1 of 6

Oberachern

(Away)
12 Sept
Oberachern
4 : 1
FC Normannia Gmund
09 Sept
Reutlingen
0 : 2
Oberachern
05 Sept
Oberachern
0 : 1
FC 08 Villingen
29 Aug
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Oberachern
21 Aug
Oberachern
2 : 1
Teningen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC 08 Villingen 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
2 Goppinger 34 20 9 5 71:37 69
3 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 77:27 68
4 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 10 6 79:46 64
5 FC Nottingen 34 17 9 8 76:41 60
6 Hollenbach 34 14 7 13 61:68 49
7 FC Normannia Gmund 34 13 9 12 46:43 48
8 TSV Essingen 34 13 7 14 45:52 46
9 VfR Mannheim 34 13 4 17 46:59 43
10 Oberachern 34 10 12 12 52:62 42
11 Backnang 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
12 Mutschelbach 34 10 11 13 67:83 41
13 Ravensburg 34 9 13 12 50:60 40
14 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 11 6 17 56:60 39
15 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 56:63 37
16 Holzhausen FC 34 10 6 18 47:60 36
17 Denzlingen 34 10 6 18 46:76 36
18 Offenburger 34 3 5 26 35:105 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)