Sport Picks

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Muungano vs Virunga

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2017/2018
Fri, Dec 22, 2017
0 - 3
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muungano host Virunga in the Super Ligue 2017/2018. This has Virunga written all over it on paper. Muungano have averaged 0.38 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Virunga's 0.92 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Muungano have won 3 to Virunga's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2018, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.44) point toward Virunga. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Muungano
15%
Draws
57%
Virunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virunga lately — more wins on the board than Muungano.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Virunga taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Muungano Clean Sheet 16%
Virunga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muungano Virunga
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.38 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2018 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Muungano
1:2
Dec 22, 2017 Ligue 1
Muungano vs Virunga
0:3
Dec 4, 2016 Ligue 1
Muungano vs Virunga
1:0
Oct 16, 2016 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Muungano
0:0
Mar 20, 2013 Ligue 1
Muungano vs Virunga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muungano 11 / 100
Virunga 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muungano Virunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virunga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virunga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Virunga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Muungano's goal record stands at 29% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Muungano VS Virunga
0 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muungano

(Home)
25 Apr
Muungano
3 : 0
AS Dragons
21 Apr
Muungano
0 : 3
Nyuki
20 Apr
OC Renaissance
3 : 0
Muungano
12 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 0
Muungano
06 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 0
Muungano
Page 1 of 7

Virunga

(Away)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 14 7 5 2 24:12 26
2 Mont Bleu 14 6 4 4 18:15 22
3 Dauphins Noirs 14 6 2 6 12:9 20
4 Virunga 14 6 2 6 16:16 20
5 Muungano 14 6 2 6 15:15 20
6 Bukavu Dawa 14 4 7 3 7:8 19
7 Etoile de Kivu 14 3 5 6 10:15 14
8 Makiso 14 2 5 7 11:23 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motema Pembe 16 13 3 0 28:4 42
2 AS Vita Club 16 11 3 2 28:5 36
3 AC Rangers 16 7 5 4 21:16 26
4 AS Dragons 16 5 6 5 18:19 21
5 Molunge 16 4 5 7 14:19 17
6 RCK 16 4 5 7 13:18 17
7 FC MK Etancheite 16 3 5 8 16:25 14
8 OC Renaissance 16 3 5 8 9:24 14
9 Nord Sport 16 0 7 9 11:28 7
10 Shark XI 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 13 4 1 42:5 43
2 St Eloi Lupopo 18 10 3 5 25:17 33
3 Don Bosco 18 8 7 3 16:9 31
4 Sanga Balende 18 8 5 5 21:14 29
5 Groupe Bazano 18 6 5 7 16:21 23
6 Ecofoot Katumbi 18 5 7 6 12:19 22
7 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 4 9 15:18 19
8 Tshinkunku 18 5 4 9 14:25 19
9 Dibumba 18 2 8 8 12:24 14
10 Ocean Pacifique 18 2 5 11 9:30 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)