Sport Picks

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Muzinga vs Olympic Star

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muzinga host Olympic Star in the Primus League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Muzinga have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Olympic Star's 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Olympic Star slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.06, favoring Muzinga. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Muzinga
30%
Draws
31%
Olympic Star
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muzinga come out ahead of Olympic Star on wins alone.
  • Model gives Muzinga a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 20%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muzinga Olympic Star
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Primus League
Muzinga vs Olympic Star
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Primus League
Muzinga vs Olympic Star
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Muzinga
2:1
Apr 16, 2021 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Muzinga
2:1
Oct 4, 2020 Primus League
Muzinga vs Olympic Star
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muzinga 49 / 100
Olympic Star 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muzinga Olympic Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muzinga scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Olympic Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Muzinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muzinga VS Olympic Star
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muzinga

(Home)
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
23 Aug
Le Messager Ngozi
2 : 1
Muzinga
14 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
25 Apr
Muzinga
0 : 0
Kayanza United
Page 1 of 6

Olympic Star

(Away)
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
27 Apr
Inter Star
1 : 2
Olympic Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Royal Vision 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Muzinga 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Vital'O 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bumamuru 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
11 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
12 Olympic Star 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Young Star 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)