Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mwadui vs Coastal Union

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mwadui
15%
Draws
85%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Coastal Union have won more games recently than Mwadui.
  • Model gives Coastal Union a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 19%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mwadui Coastal Union
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mwadui
5:0
Dec 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mwadui
2:1
Feb 14, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mwadui 10 / 100
Coastal Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mwadui Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mwadui's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coastal Union
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mwadui

(Home)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
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Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)