Sport Picks
Match Events
82'
82'
Mkopi M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Mwadui and Tanzania Prisons finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania Prisons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania Prisons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tanzania Prisons carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tanzania Prisons a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 27%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwadui | Tanzania Prisons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Tanzania Prisons
0:1
Nov 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mwadui
2:0
Mar 14, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Tanzania Prisons
2:1
Nov 22, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mwadui
1:1
Apr 3, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mwadui
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mwadui Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Top Goalscorer Mkopi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwadui 10 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwadui Tanzania Prisons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tanzania Prisons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tanzania Prisons has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Mwadui scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Tanzania Prisons lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tanzania Prisons
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwadui
(Home) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
11 May
Mwadui
0 : 3 Kagera Sugar
18 Apr
Mwadui
0 : 1 Simba
06 Mar
Mwadui
0 : 0 Azam
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Tanzania Prisons
(Away) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
18 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
