Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Mwatate United and Darajani Gogo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darajani Gogo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Darajani Gogo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Darajani Gogo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Mwatate United Clean Sheet 23%
Darajani Gogo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwatate United | Darajani Gogo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Mwatate United vs Darajani Gogo
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mwatate United
0:0
May 25, 2024 Super League
Mwatate United vs Darajani Gogo
0:0
Nov 25, 2023 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mwatate United
0:0
May 21, 2023 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Mwatate United
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwatate United 10 / 100
Darajani Gogo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwatate United Darajani Gogo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Darajani Gogo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Darajani Gogo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Mwatate United's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Darajani Gogo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mwatate United VS Darajani Gogo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwatate United
(Home) 13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0 Mwatate United
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0 Mwatate United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
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07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
10 May
Mwatate United
1 : 1 Kibera
18 Apr
Mwatate United
3 : 1 Vihiga United
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Darajani Gogo
(Away) 13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3 Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1 Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1 Darajani Gogo
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1 MOFA
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0 Vihiga United
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13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3 Darajani Gogo
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1 Darajani Gogo
16 May
Naivas FC
3 : 0 Darajani Gogo
03 May
Luanda Villa
1 : 0 Darajani Gogo
19 Apr
Nzoia Sugar
2 : 0 Darajani Gogo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
