Sport Picks

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Myanmar U22 vs Timor-Leste U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Soe Thet Hein

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2023 game between Myanmar U22 and Timor-Leste U22 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Myanmar U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Myanmar U22
15%
Draws
73%
Timor-Leste U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Myanmar U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 12% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Myanmar U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Timor-Leste U22 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar U22 Timor-Leste U22
Matches Played 26 14
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.23 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U22 vs Timor-Leste U22
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe Thet Hein
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar U22 41 / 100
Timor-Leste U22 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar U22 Timor-Leste U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U22 let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Away concern: Timor-Leste U22 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Myanmar U22's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar U22 VS Timor-Leste U22
0.63 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar U22

(Home)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
04 Jun
China U22
2 : 1
Myanmar U22
01 Jun
China U22
2 : 0
Myanmar U22
22 Mar
Myanmar U22
2 : 2
Hong Kong U22
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste U22

(Away)
06 Dec
Singapore U22
1 : 3
Timor-Leste U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
07 May
Timor-Leste U22
0 : 3
Indonesia U22
04 May
Timor-Leste U22
3 : 0
Philippines U22
02 May
Myanmar U22
1 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U22 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Myanmar U22 4 3 0 1 4:5 9
3 Cambodia U22 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
4 Timor-Leste U22 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
5 Philippines U22 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Vietnam U22 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Malaysia U22 4 2 0 2 13:5 6
4 Laos U22 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Singapore U22 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2023 (Play Offs)