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Stadium Background

Myanmar vs Malaysia

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Myanmar Logo

Myanmar

1 - 2
FT
Malaysia Logo

Malaysia

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Khant Myat Kaung
14'
Oo K.
52' Event
Paulo Josue
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malaysia in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaysia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
51%
Malaysia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Myanmar haven't matched Malaysia's recent run of results.
  • Malaysia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Malaysia
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Malaysia
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Malaysia
0:1
May 27, 2022 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Myanmar
0:0
Nov 24, 2018 ASEAN Championship
Malaysia vs Myanmar
3:0
Aug 29, 2017 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Malaysia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Khant Myat Kaung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Malaysia Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Josue
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 10 / 100
Malaysia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Malaysia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Malaysia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Myanmar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Malaysia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia

(Away)
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Malaysia
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
31 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 1
Malaysia
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Malaysia 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Myanmar 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
4 Philippines 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)