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Stadium Background

Myanmar vs Pakistan

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Myanmar Logo

Myanmar

1 - 0
FT
Pakistan Logo

Pakistan

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Ihtisham W. In: Ullah M.
Out: Ihtisham W.
41' Event
Paing T.
45'
Arshad A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
45%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Myanmar come out ahead of Pakistan on wins alone.
  • Myanmar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Myanmar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Myanmar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 68%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Pakistan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.43 0.46
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Pakistan vs Myanmar
1:2
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Myanmar vs Pakistan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Pakistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 59 / 100
Pakistan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Pakistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Pakistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Myanmar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Pakistan
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

Pakistan

(Away)
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)