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Myanmar vs Sri Lanka

World World

Friendly International 2024 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Aung Lwin Moe
52'
Kyaw S. M.
58'
Kyaw N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Myanmar and Sri Lanka finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
51%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Lanka have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Myanmar are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Myanmar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 11%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Sri Lanka
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
2:0
Feb 16, 2010 AFC Challenge Cup
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
4:0
Aug 2, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3
Aug 2, 2008 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 30 / 100
Sri Lanka 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Sri Lanka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Myanmar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Sri Lanka
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
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