Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Myanmar vs Sri Lanka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Harsha F.
16' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
44'
Oo K.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
49%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Myanmar haven't matched Sri Lanka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Myanmar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Myanmar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Sri Lanka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
2:0
Feb 16, 2010 AFC Challenge Cup
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
4:0
Aug 2, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3
Aug 2, 2008 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lwin M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sri Lanka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 40 / 100
Sri Lanka 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Myanmar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Sri Lanka
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

Sri Lanka

(Away)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6