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Myanmar vs Sri Lanka

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Harsha F.
16' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
44'
Oo K.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
51%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Myanmar at 1.75 per game, Sri Lanka at 1.43.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Myanmar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 11%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Sri Lanka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
2:0
Feb 16, 2010 AFC Challenge Cup
Myanmar vs Sri Lanka
4:0
Aug 2, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3
Aug 2, 2008 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Myanmar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lwin M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sri Lanka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 30 / 100
Sri Lanka 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Myanmar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Sri Lanka
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
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