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Mzuzu City vs Extreme FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Adeyemi S.

AI Match Summary

Mzuzu City in this Super League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mzuzu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mzuzu City
15%
Draws
36%
Extreme FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mzuzu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mzuzu City have won more games recently than Extreme FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mzuzu City Clean Sheet 18%
Extreme FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mzuzu City Extreme FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.86 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2023 Super League
Mzuzu City vs Extreme FC
1:0
Jun 25, 2023 Super League
Extreme FC vs Mzuzu City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mzuzu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Extreme FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mzuzu City 32 / 100
Extreme FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mzuzu City Extreme FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Extreme FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Extreme FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mzuzu City scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mzuzu City VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mzuzu City

(Home)
08 Feb
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Mzuzu City
01 Feb
Mzuzu City
2 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
27 Dec
Big Bullets
4 : 0
Mzuzu City
24 Dec
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Mzuzu City
13 Dec
Chitipa United
2 : 2
Mzuzu City
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Extreme FC

(Away)
03 Dec
Extreme FC
1 : 2
Chitipa United
08 Nov
Kamuzu Barracks
1 : 0
Extreme FC
28 Oct
Extreme FC
0 : 3
Blue Eagles
21 Oct
Red Lions
2 : 1
Extreme FC
14 Oct
Extreme FC
3 : 2
Bangwe All Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 30 16 12 2 49:19 60
2 Silver Strikers 30 16 9 5 41:18 57
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 15 10 5 35:16 55
4 Chitipa United 30 14 6 10 31:29 48
5 Kamuzu Barracks 30 13 7 10 32:23 46
6 Bangwe All Stars 30 11 9 10 37:36 42
7 Dedza Dynamos 30 9 11 10 30:38 38
8 Civo Utd 30 8 13 9 31:30 37
9 Karonga United 30 9 10 11 34:38 37
10 MAFCO 30 10 7 13 29:36 37
11 Mighty Tigers 30 8 12 10 21:22 36
12 Mzuzu City 30 9 9 12 26:36 36
13 Moyale Barracks 30 8 11 11 32:32 35
14 Blue Eagles 30 8 11 11 32:32 35
15 Red Lions 30 8 5 17 22:50 29
16 Extreme FC 30 4 6 20 16:43 18
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