Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NAC Breda vs Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Greiml L.
21' Event
Hrustic A.
Assist: Limbombe B.
34' Event
Hornkamp J.
Assist: Kulenovic L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Heracles advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
NAC Breda
15%
Draws
67%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heracles come out ahead of NAC Breda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Heracles a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Heracles arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Heracles, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Heracles
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 KNVB Beker
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemper B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrustic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hornkamp J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 10 / 100
Heracles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Heracles conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

NAC Breda found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: NAC Breda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Heracles
1.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2
Jong Ajax
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3
Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6
Heracles
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Aalsmeer 2
HZVV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Walcheren 1
VV Noordwijk 3
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 4
GOES 0
TBD -
Spakenburg -
RKVV Erp 0
VV DOVO 4
TEC 3
SV Poortugaal 2
Rohda Raalte 4
HVV Hollandia 1
SteDoCo 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
SV Juliana 31 0
Meerssen 2
Gemert 2
Huizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Harkemase Boys 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
VV Kloetinge 3
DVO 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 6
Rijnvogels 4
Blauw Geel 2
VVOG 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 1
Westlandia 0
VV Zwaluwen 1
Urk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
VVSB 1
Capelle 2
SVV Scheveningen 2
Staphorst 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
De Foresters 2
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 6
Velocitas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
TOGB 1
RKSV UDI 19 3
Sportlust 4
Sportclub 25 1
Kozakken Boys 4
Kampong 0
TBD -
Barendrecht -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 4
Dongen 0
DZOH Emmen 2
Excelsior 31 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Heino 3
Groene Ster 4
IJsselmeervogels 0
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 3
ACV Assen 1
AWC 0
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
Roosendaal 2
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Olde Veste 0
HSC '21 3
't Zand 4
Mierlo-Hout 2
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
UNA 1
ARC 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/64-finals
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
HZVV Hoogeveen 1
Excelsior Maassluis 5
TBD -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
VV Noordwijk 0
Hardenberg 2
TBD -
TOP Oss -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
USV Hercules 1
Spakenburg 3
VV DOVO 1
TEC 0
Rohda Raalte 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
TBD -
Twente -
Meerssen 0
Gemert 1
TBD -
Sittard -
Sparta Nijkerk 4
VV Kloetinge 3
TBD -
Almere City -
HSV Hoek 1
Blauw Geel 0
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
Lisse 4
Urk 1
TBD -
Telstar -
Capelle 5
SVV Scheveningen 1
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VV Scherpenzeel 3
VV Hoogeveen 4
TBD -
FC Emmen -
RKSV UDI 19 0
Sportlust 1
Kozakken Boys 2
Barendrecht 3
De Treffers 6
RKAV Volendam 3
TBD -
Maastricht -
Eemdijk 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
AFC -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Willem II -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Groene Ster 1
Genemuiden 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
ASWH 2
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roosendaal 0
GVVV 1
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
HSC '21 3
't Zand 1
Koninklijke HFC 5
ARC 0
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/32-finals
Helmond Sport 1
Zwolle 4
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Excelsior 0
TBD -
Ajax -
Hardenberg 0
TOP Oss 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Spakenburg 5
VV DOVO 1
Rohda Raalte 1
Twente 4
Gemert 0
Sittard 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Almere City 2
HSV Hoek 3
Eindhoven FC 2
Lisse 0
Telstar 5
Capelle 1
Roda 5
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
NAC Breda 1
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
FC Emmen 0
Sportlust 1
Barendrecht 0
De Treffers 3
Maastricht 1
Eemdijk 1
AFC 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 7
Dordrecht 0
Sparta Rotterdam 5
Groningen 2
Quick Boys 1
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 1
RKSV Halsteren 0
Den Bosch 4
Den Haag 3
Katwijk 2
Vitesse 1
PSV -
TBD -
GVVV 4
De Graafschap 2
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Venlo 0
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 3
Koninklijke HFC 0
Waalwijk 3
Cambuur 2
1/16-finals
Zwolle 1
AZ Alkmaar 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Ajax 7
TOP Oss 0
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 3
Twente 6
Sittard 2
Almere City 3
HSV Hoek 1
Telstar 4
Roda 1
G.A. Eagles 2
Heracles 4
VV Hoogeveen 1
Sportlust 0
De Treffers 1
AFC 1
Nijmegen 3
Willem II 1
Sparta Rotterdam 5
FC Volendam 2
Genemuiden 0
Den Bosch 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
GVVV 0
Feyenoord 2
Heerenveen 3
HSC '21 0
Waalwijk 9
1/8-finals
AZ Alkmaar 6
Ajax 0
Utrecht 1
Twente 2
Almere City 1
Telstar 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Heracles 2
De Treffers 1
Nijmegen 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
FC Volendam 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV 4
Heerenveen 3
Waalwijk 1
Quarter-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Twente 1
Telstar 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Nijmegen 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 4
Heerenveen 1
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 2
Telstar 1
Nijmegen 3
PSV 2
Final
AZ Alkmaar 5
Nijmegen 1