Sport Picks
NAC Breda vs Maastricht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda 
AI Match Summary
NAC Breda host Maastricht in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Maastricht have shipped 1.91 goals a game lately, while NAC Breda have conceded 1.9 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor NAC Breda slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.38 - 1.69) back NAC Breda to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: NAC Breda at 1.41 per game, Maastricht at 1.21.
- Win probability leans NAC Breda's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors NAC Breda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NAC Breda | Maastricht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maastricht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
NAC Breda scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: NAC Breda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
NAC Breda
(Home)Maastricht
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
