Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion

Venlo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda host Venlo in the Eerste Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. NAC Breda have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Venlo's 2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, NAC Breda have won 3 to Venlo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.75) back Venlo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

NAC Breda

33%

Draws

40%

Venlo

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Venlo have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
Model gives Venlo a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

NAC Breda Clean Sheet 12%

Venlo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NAC Breda	Venlo
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	5	10
Draws	10	7
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.88	2
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Eerste Divisie

NAC Breda vs Venlo

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie

Venlo vs NAC Breda

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Mar 31, 2023 Eerste Divisie

Venlo vs NAC Breda

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie

NAC Breda vs Venlo

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Apr 8, 2022 Eerste Divisie

NAC Breda vs Venlo

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 27 / 100

Venlo 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NAC Breda Venlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Venlo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

NAC Breda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

NAC Breda scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Venlo

0.88 Goals Scored 2

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	De Graafschap	0:0
2	Venlo	0:0
3	Den Bosch	0:0
4	Dordrecht	0:0
5	Eindhoven FC	0:0
6	FC Emmen	0:0
7	Helmond Sport	0:0
8	Maastricht	0:0
9	Almere City	0:0
10	TOP Oss	0:0
11	FC Volendam	0:0
12	Waalwijk	0:0
13	NAC Breda	0:0
14	Roda	0:0
15	Vitesse	0:0
16	Heracles	0:0
17	Jong PSV	0:0
18	Jong Ajax	0:0
19	Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0