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Nacao U20 vs Avai U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kauan Felipe
29' Event
Walyfy Cowboy
56' Event
Kaua Gabriel

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Nacao U20 and Avai U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nacao U20
15%
Draws
59%
Avai U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avai U20 come out ahead of Nacao U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avai U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Avai U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Avai U20
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.33 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Avai U20
1:2
Jun 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1
Jul 31, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Avai U20
3:3
Jun 4, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
4:0
Jun 22, 2024 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Walyfy Cowboy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 10 / 100
Avai U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Avai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Nacao U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Avai U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Solid form: Nacao U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Avai U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Avai U20

(Away)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)