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Nacao U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 Logo

Nacao U20

1 - 1
FT
Chapecoense-SC U20 Logo

Chapecoense-SC U20

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
68' Event
dos Santos L.
81'
Daylan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nacao U20
30%
Draws
39%
Chapecoense-SC U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chapecoense-SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chapecoense-SC U20 lately — more wins on the board than Nacao U20.
  • Win probability leans Chapecoense-SC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Chapecoense-SC U20
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:2
May 23, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Nacao U20
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
0:3
Jul 4, 2024 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Nacao U20
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 10 / 100
Chapecoense-SC U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Chapecoense-SC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nacao U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nacao U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Chapecoense-SC U20
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Chapecoense-SC U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Operario PR U20
3 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)