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Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Capella
85'
Vitor J.
85'
Vitor J.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Nacao U20 and Criciuma U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nacao U20
20%
Draws
61%
Criciuma U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Criciuma U20 come out ahead of Nacao U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Criciuma U20 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Criciuma U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Criciuma U20
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 21
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1
Jul 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:1
Jul 9, 2025 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Criciuma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Capella
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 10 / 100
Criciuma U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Criciuma U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacao U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Criciuma U20 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Nacao U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Criciuma U20
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Criciuma U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Criciuma U20
3 : 0
Barra FC U20
09 Sept
Criciuma U20
3 : 1
FC Cascavel U20
29 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
22 Aug
Barra FC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)