Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacao U20 play Criciuma U20 in the Catarinense U20. Criciuma U20 are favorites here. Recently, Nacao U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Criciuma U20 averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Nacao U20 won 0, Criciuma U20 won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Nacao U20 and 1.31 for Criciuma U20. This points to a Criciuma U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nacao U20
15%
Draws
56%
Criciuma U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Nacao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Criciuma U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Criciuma U20
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
3:1
Jul 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Criciuma U20
0:1
Jul 9, 2025 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Nacao U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 30 / 100
Criciuma U20 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Criciuma U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Criciuma U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacao U20 attacking → ← attacking Criciuma U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacao U20 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Criciuma U20 let in goals in 56% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nacao U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Criciuma U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 63
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201283130:1427
2Avai U201275029:926
3Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
4Criciuma U201164119:622
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201343626:2215
7Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
8Concordia U201133511:1912
9Joinville U201213810:266
10Brusque U2014111214:434