Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Wellisson
66'
66'
Jair
66'
66'
Jair
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Blumenau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nacao haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
- Nacao are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Blumenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Blumenau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nacao Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacao | Blumenau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
0:2
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:6
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Nacao
5:1
Sep 23, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacao Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Blumenau Compare
Top Goalscorer Wellisson
1 Goals Assists Leader Jardel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacao 51 / 100
Blumenau 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacao Blumenau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Blumenau let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.
Recent resilience: Nacao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Nacao scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Nacao VS Blumenau
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacao
(Home) 22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Nacao
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2 Caravaggio
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2 Nacao
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0 Nacao
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2 Caravaggio
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
01 Jul
Nacao
0 : 0 CA Metropolitano
17 Jun
Nacao
1 : 0 Gremio Juventus
03 Jun
Nacao
0 : 6 Blumenau
Page 1 of 3
Blumenau
(Away) 25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3 Blumenau
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1 Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1 CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 8
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3 Blumenau
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1 Blumenau
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1 Blumenau
20 Jun
Sao Luiz
1 : 1 Blumenau
17 Jun
Tubarao
2 : 3 Blumenau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)