Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 5-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Nacao at 0.93 goals for, 1.63 against; Blumenau at 1.62 for, 0.92 against. Head-to-head, Nacao have won 1 to Blumenau's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Blumenau. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Blumenau taking it.
- Blumenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Blumenau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacao | Blumenau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Nacao scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Blumenau has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.
Difficult form: Blumenau registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nacao
(Home)Blumenau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |