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Nacao vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Nacao Logo

Nacao

0 - 0
FT
CA Metropolitano Logo

CA Metropolitano

Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Santos R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and CA Metropolitano finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nacao
20%
Draws
60%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Nacao haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CA Metropolitano's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nacao Clean Sheet 10%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
5:2
Jun 15, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
4:2
Jul 23, 2023 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs CA Metropolitano
3:2
Jun 4, 2022 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 18 / 100
CA Metropolitano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Metropolitano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Nacao's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: CA Metropolitano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CA Metropolitano has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS CA Metropolitano
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao

(Home)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 6

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)