Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Nacao

1 - 2

Fluminense-SC

Our Tip

Match Events

63'

Gustavo Modesto

82'

Giehl N. F.

90'

da Silva G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and Fluminense-SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Nacao

39%

Draws

31%

Fluminense-SC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Fluminense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Nacao Clean Sheet 68%

Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacao	Fluminense-SC
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	4	10
Draws	13	8
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Fluminense-SC

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

May 16, 2026 Catarinense 2

Fluminense-SC vs Nacao

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Jun 22, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Fluminense-SC

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Modesto

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Giehl N. F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader da Silva G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 41 / 100

Fluminense-SC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacao Fluminense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Nacao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nacao's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS Fluminense-SC

0.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33:9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	16	8	4	4	32:13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22:17	23
6	Fluminense-SC	16	5	3	8	14:21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Gremio Juventus	16	5	2	9	16:21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15:24	17
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1