Sport Picks
Nacao vs Marcilio Dias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nacao at 0.96 goals for, 1.68 against; Marcilio Dias at 1.48 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Marcilio Dias slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward Marcilio Dias. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Marcilio Dias lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias taking it.
- Marcilio Dias arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacao | Marcilio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Nacao's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Marcilio Dias conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Nacao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nacao
(Home)Marcilio Dias
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
