Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sassa
16' Event
Renanzinho
(Penalty)
19' Event
de Melo M. A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
20%
Draws
29%
CSA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
CSA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional-AM (Manaus) CSA
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Serie D
CSA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Aug 28, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
3:1
Sep 4, 1986 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
0:0
Mar 20, 1985 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
1:0
Jan 31, 1985 Serie A Betano
CSA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafa Marcos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer de Melo M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 77 / 100
CSA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional-AM (Manaus) CSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

CSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS CSA
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6

CSA

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CSA 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Goiatuba EC 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1