Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Guapore
Brazil
Copa Norte Arena da Amazonia, Manaus 
Match Events
35'
35'
Kaio Wilker
66'
66'
Kaio Wilker
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Guapore haven't matched Nacional-AM (Manaus)'s recent run of results.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 20%
Guapore Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Guapore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Guapore
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaio Wilker
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Guapore Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 42 / 100
Guapore 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Guapore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Guapore let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Guapore
1.25 Goals Scored 1.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
Page 1 of 4
Guapore
(Away) 12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
23 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Guapore
17 May
Porto Velho
0 : 0 Guapore
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
