Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
Brazil
Copa Norte Arena da Amazonia, Manaus 
Match Events
11'
11'
Caio Mello
27'
27'
Kleiton Pego
51'
51'
Thayllon
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have won more games recently than Paysandu PA.
- Win probability leans Nacional-AM (Manaus)'s way, sitting at 80%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Paysandu PA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
2:4
May 20, 2026 Copa Norte
Paysandu PA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
7:0
Aug 20, 2019 Copa Verde
Paysandu PA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Aug 8, 2019 Copa Verde
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaio Wilker
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Caio Mello
1 Goals Assists Leader Kleiton Pego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 86 / 100
Paysandu PA 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Paysandu PA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Nacional-AM (Manaus) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Paysandu PA
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
Page 1 of 4
Paysandu PA
(Away) 26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Porto Velho 1
Aguia De Maraba 1
Paysandu PA 5
Final
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Paysandu PA 5
