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Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Sao Raimundo AM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vicente
29' Event
Lucas Oliveira
41' Event
Hernane

AI Match Summary

Nacional-AM (Manaus) in this Amazonense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional-AM (Manaus).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
20%
Draws
10%
Sao Raimundo AM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than Sao Raimundo AM.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Raimundo AM Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional-AM (Manaus) Sao Raimundo AM
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Sao Raimundo AM
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Sao Raimundo AM
4:1
Jan 20, 2024 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Sao Raimundo AM
2:2
Feb 13, 2022 Amazonense
Sao Raimundo AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Mar 7, 2021 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Sao Raimundo AM
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernane
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vicente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao Raimundo AM Compare

Top Goalscorer Maycon Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 95 / 100
Sao Raimundo AM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Sao Raimundo AM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Raimundo AM has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Nacional-AM (Manaus) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
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Sao Raimundo AM

(Away)
25 Feb
Manaus FC
3 : 0
Sao Raimundo AM
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo AM
1 : 2
Princesa do Solimoes
12 Feb
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 0
Sao Raimundo AM
28 Jan
Sao Raimundo AM
2 : 2
Manauara
25 Jan
Sao Raimundo AM
0 : 3
Parintins
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Parintins 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Princesa do Solimoes 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
4 Sete FC 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2025 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense 2025 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Manauara 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Amazonas 3 1 0 2 3:2 3
4 Sao Raimundo AM 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2025 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense 2025 (Second stage - Play Offs)