Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Trem
Brazil
Copa Norte Arena da Amazonia, Manaus 
Match Events
71'
71'
Hernane
85'
85'
Rafa Marcos
90'
90'
Foguete
AI Match Summary
Nacional-AM (Manaus) in this Copa Norte tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have won more games recently than Trem.
- Win probability leans Nacional-AM (Manaus)'s way, sitting at 70%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
Trem Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Trem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Trem
2:1
Jul 1, 2023 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Trem
2:0
May 27, 2023 Serie D
Trem vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:1
Jul 3, 2016 Serie D
Trem vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Jun 26, 2016 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Trem
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernane
1 Goals Assists Leader Rafa Marcos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Trem Compare
Top Goalscorer Foguete
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 77 / 100
Trem 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Trem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional-AM (Manaus) has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Trem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Trem
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
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18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
29 May
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 4 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 4
Trem
(Away) 13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4 America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2 Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2 Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
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13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2 Trem
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
10 May
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Trem
26 Apr
Oratorio
0 : 2 Trem
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
