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Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
Nacional Asuncion Logo

Nacional Asuncion

3 - 0
FT
2 de Mayo Logo

2 de Mayo

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Valdez I.
Assist: Benitez H. A.
15'
Castro C.
20'
Colman Escobar D. J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nacional Asuncion
30%
Draws
23%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Asuncion come out ahead of 2 de Mayo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Asuncion's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Asuncion 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Meza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

2 de Mayo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Asuncion 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

2 de Mayo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Nacional Asuncion has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Asuncion VS 2 de Mayo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Asuncion

(Home)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

2 de Mayo

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)